In Morocco, meteorological records have shown that over the last twenty years, there is a trend toward increasing air temperatures. Average precipitation is also decreasing with much variability within and between years. As a consequence, we have been experiencing more frequent Droughts, with negative effects on Agriculture and National Economy. In order to alleviate the adverse effects of such climate change on agriculture, we have developed an Indicator for an Early Drought Warning, based on the prediction of the three main cereals yields at any time of the growing season for a given Province. By comparison of the predicted yield with the statistical yield series, we can determine the drought severity at any time during the growing cycle and issue an Early Drought Warning when the predicted yield falls in the moderate or severe drought classes. Setting such Indicators for an Early Warning allows decision makers to take the appropriate measures to reduce drought impact and alleviate its adverse effects on crop production and on populations whose main income comes from agriculture. Key words: climate change, mitigation, Drought warning.

In Morocco, meteorological records have shown that over the last twenty years, there is a trend toward increasing air temperatures. Average precipitation is also decreasing with much variability within and between years. As a consequence, we have been experiencing more frequent Droughts, with negati...