ورقة بحثية
Comparison of Agricultural Forecasts with Actual Data = مقارنة التوقعات الزراعية بالإحصاءات الفعلية

Alseleem, Y.A.


 

Comparison of Agricultural Forecasts with Actual Data = مقارنة التوقعات الزراعية بالإحصاءات الفعلية

Alseleem, Y.A.

So far, little has been said regarding the accuracy of forecasting given by the Ministry of Agriculture and Water (MAW). Saudi Arabia. Measures of accuracy are quite useful in comparing several methods of sampling or analysis. A comparison of forecasts with actual data gives us a measure of accuracy. In fact, a current evaluation of the accuracy of crop forecasts appears useful since government agencies, agribusiness firms, and farmers make decisions involving millions of riyals annually on the basis of the forecast, and deficiencies in the forecasts may cause undesirable effects on plans and resource allocation. The present research examines the accuracy of 255 MAW crop area and production forecasts for wheat, barley, tomato, watermelons, palm dates, grapes, chicken, sheep, and camel for the period 1400-1416 H (i.e. 1979-1995G). The study tested the difference between actual and forecast estimates. The results of this study provide useful information about decision making in crop (animal) forecasting procedures to meet users requirements.

So far, little has been said regarding the accuracy of forecasting given by the Ministry of Agriculture and Water (MAW). Saudi Arabia. Measures of accuracy are quite useful in comparing several methods of sampling or analysis. A comparison of forecasts with actual data gives us a measure of accuracy...

مادة فرعية

المؤلف : Alseleem, Y.A.

بيانات النشر : Muscat، Sultanate of Oman : Journal of Agricultural and Marine Sciences، 2001مـ.

التصنيف الموضوعي : العلوم التطبيقية|الزراعة .

المواضيع : Agricultural - Saudi Arabia.

الزراعة - السعودية.

رقم الطبعة : 1

المصدر : Sultan Qaboos University : Muscat، Sultanate of Oman.

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